11.188 Final Project: MBTA & The Urban Ring

by Jerrad Pierce <belg4mit@mit.edu>

Also available at http://web.mit.edu/belg4mit/www/11.520/final/

Introduction

I examined Urban Ring proposal with data accquired from the MassGIS and MBTA websites. The MBTA data was a textual proposal and required the use of geocoding, which was corroborated by MapQuest.com. To fully understand the Urban ring it is necessary to perform a background study of the T. There is a strong correlation between the T and the road system.

Existing lines

There are centers of high population density along the Green Line. The Green Line is the oldest line in the T; and the first subway in the United States; and created for the purpose of exporting population. Population density was calculated as population over inhabited area. The inhabited area was calculated by using the Overlay Erase operation in ArcToolbox to remove designated open space and water bodies from census blocks to leave the real inhabited area.

Median household income correlates with MBTA service coverage and population density. Higher income communities are located farther from the hub and along the Green Line. Instead of using Jenks for the breaks in this map, multiples of the Federal Poverty level (FPL, as described at http://www.massbudget.org/povertydrop.pdf were used. Due to the high cost of living (particularly housing costs) in Greater Boston the 4 person value was used as the minimal FPL $17,960.

Average household size exhibits an interesting spatial pattern. Household size, as calculated by the following formula

	(
	                1*[NF_HSHLD_1]  +
			2*[F_HSHLD_2] + 2*[NF_HSHLD_2]+
			3*[F_HSHLD_3] + 3*[NF_HSHLD_3]+
			4*[F_HSHLD_4] + 4*[NF_HSHLD_4]+
			5*[F_HSHLD_5] + 5*[NF_HSHLD_5]+
			6*[F_HSHLD_6] + 6*[NF_HSHLD_6]+
			7*[F_HSHLD_7] + 7*[NF_HSHLD_7]
	) / [TOT_HSHLD]
does not map well to neither density nor income. This discrepancy is largely due to Chelsea, Dorchester and Milton.

Coverage

To determine the efficiency of service I compared the cumulative population coverages of 1500 foot buffers (a 5 minute walk, which is the normal approximation for maximum distance comfortable to a pedestrian) around all T stations that were dissolved vs. undissolved buffers. This was done using the Spatial Analyst's Zonal Statistics function. After determining that the current layout double counted people due to the high station density on the Green Line I crated an optimized system. The new system was created with use of existing tracks and stations, removal of some Green Line stations and filling gaps near population centers (primarily along the Red and Orange Lines). The proposed system serves more people, promotes infill, and higher throughput due to fewer stops (Green Line).
Existing Per Station532793 people
Existing Dissolved278862 people
Optimized Dissolved303652 people

Urban Ring

The Urban is not a ring per se, due to numerous alternate sites and the restrictions of existing infrastructure. The Urban Ring was conceived as a means of promoting mobility by reducing the necessity of trips through the urban center and is similar in principle to a highway bypass. A secondary goal of the ring is to promote infill (density), indicated by the low degree of overlap with existing coverage and the variety of densities served.

Coverage

Urban Ring Dissolved 36227 people

The Urban Ring may, in practice, be an extension of Green or Orange, and probably only partially rail. The Urban Ring would serve a mix of land uses, similar to the existing lines, with an emphasis on industry and transportation. The latter is somewhat to b expected given the concept of the Urban Ring as a bypass worked into the existing infrastructure.

Conclusion

Based on my analysis, I think the sites chosen for the Urban Ring are excellent and the project should move forward as soon as possible. I would also like to see the entire system become light or heavy rail, and not bus based. Finally, as an aesthetics and end-user issue I would discourage the MBTA from merging the Urban Ring with an existing line; particularly the labyrinthine Green Line.